ValueCommerce Co., Ltd.

TSE:2491 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥25.0b

ValueCommerce Valuation

Is 2491 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2491 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2491 (¥1152) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥3647.4)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2491 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2491?

Key metric: As 2491 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 2491. This is calculated by dividing 2491's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 2491's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.7x
EarningsJP¥2.86b
Market CapJP¥24.95b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2491's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2491 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.6x
3696 Ceres
22.4xn/aJP¥26.6b
7095 Macbee Planet
16.9x21.1%JP¥35.8b
3978 Macromill
20.2x19.0%JP¥46.3b
9272 Boutiques
18.8xn/aJP¥14.0b
2491 ValueCommerce
8.7x7.6%JP¥25.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2491 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.7x) compared to the peer average (19.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2491's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Media Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
2491 8.7xIndustry Avg. 15.3xNo. of Companies15PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2491 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.7x) compared to the JP Media industry average (15.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2491's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2491 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.7x
Fair PE Ratio16.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 2491 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2491 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,152.00
JP¥1,400.00
+21.5%
10.1%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,200.00n/a3
Nov ’25JP¥1,097.00
JP¥1,400.00
+27.6%
10.1%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,200.00n/a3
Oct ’25JP¥1,139.00
JP¥1,400.00
+22.9%
10.1%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,200.00n/a3
Sep ’25JP¥1,141.00
JP¥1,400.00
+22.7%
10.1%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,200.00n/a3
Aug ’25JP¥1,126.00
JP¥1,433.33
+27.3%
11.9%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,200.00n/a3
Jul ’25JP¥1,172.00
JP¥1,433.33
+22.3%
11.9%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,200.00n/a3
Jun ’25JP¥1,179.00
JP¥1,433.33
+21.6%
11.9%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,200.00n/a3
May ’25JP¥1,084.00
JP¥1,433.33
+32.2%
11.9%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,200.00n/a3
Apr ’25JP¥1,085.00
JP¥1,350.00
+24.4%
11.1%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,200.00n/a2
Mar ’25JP¥1,118.00
JP¥1,700.00
+52.1%
8.3%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,500.00n/a3
Feb ’25JP¥1,280.00
JP¥1,800.00
+40.6%
13.6%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,500.00n/a3
Jan ’25JP¥1,467.00
JP¥1,650.00
+12.5%
9.1%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,500.00n/a2
Dec ’24JP¥1,351.00
JP¥1,650.00
+22.1%
9.1%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,500.00n/a2
Nov ’24JP¥1,230.00
JP¥1,466.67
+19.2%
3.2%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,097.003
Oct ’24JP¥1,274.00
JP¥1,466.67
+15.1%
3.2%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,139.003
Sep ’24JP¥1,287.00
JP¥1,466.67
+14.0%
3.2%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,141.003
Aug ’24JP¥1,352.00
JP¥1,833.33
+35.6%
29.7%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,126.003
Jul ’24JP¥1,346.00
JP¥1,833.33
+36.2%
29.7%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,172.003
Jun ’24JP¥1,376.00
JP¥1,966.67
+42.9%
25.0%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,179.003
May ’24JP¥1,300.00
JP¥2,100.00
+61.5%
16.9%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,084.003
Apr ’24JP¥1,700.00
JP¥2,100.00
+23.5%
16.9%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,085.003
Mar ’24JP¥1,660.00
JP¥2,233.33
+34.5%
14.8%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,118.003
Feb ’24JP¥1,869.00
JP¥2,566.67
+37.3%
9.7%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,280.003
Jan ’24JP¥1,814.00
JP¥3,157.50
+74.1%
33.1%JP¥4,930.00JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,467.004
Dec ’23JP¥2,083.00
JP¥3,582.50
+72.0%
26.6%JP¥4,930.00JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,351.004
Nov ’23JP¥2,105.00
JP¥3,670.00
+74.3%
23.4%JP¥4,930.00JP¥2,850.00JP¥1,230.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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