The board of Hakudo Co., Ltd. (TSE:7637) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 11th of December, with investors receiving ¥40.00 per share. The payment will take the dividend yield to 3.4%, which is in line with the average for the industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Hakudo
Hakudo's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings
Unless the payments are sustainable, the dividend yield doesn't mean too much. The last payment was quite easily covered by earnings, but it made up 98% of cash flows. The company might be more focused on returning cash to shareholders, but paying out this much of its cash flow could expose the dividend to being cut in the future.
Looking forward, earnings per share could rise by 4.1% over the next year if the trend from the last few years continues. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 54%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was ¥29.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥85.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 11% per annum over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.
The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Earnings per share has been crawling upwards at 4.1% per year. Hakudo is struggling to find viable investments, so it is returning more to shareholders. This isn't necessarily bad, but we wouldn't expect rapid dividend growth in the future.
Our Thoughts On Hakudo's Dividend
Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. While Hakudo is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. We don't think Hakudo is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for Hakudo that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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About TSE:7637
Hakudo
Processes and sells metal and plastic materials in Japan, China, Thailand, and Vietnam.
Flawless balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.