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Here's Why OSAKA Titanium technologiesLtd (TSE:5726) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.,Ltd. (TSE:5726) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for OSAKA Titanium technologiesLtd
What Is OSAKA Titanium technologiesLtd's Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that OSAKA Titanium technologiesLtd had JP¥40.5b in debt in December 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it does have JP¥3.64b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about JP¥36.9b.
How Healthy Is OSAKA Titanium technologiesLtd's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that OSAKA Titanium technologiesLtd had liabilities of JP¥18.5b due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥37.4b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥3.64b as well as receivables valued at JP¥22.3b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total JP¥29.9b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
OSAKA Titanium technologiesLtd has a market capitalization of JP¥88.6b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
OSAKA Titanium technologiesLtd's net debt is 3.4 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. But its EBIT was about 51.8 times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. Notably, OSAKA Titanium technologiesLtd's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 315% on last year. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if OSAKA Titanium technologiesLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last two years, OSAKA Titanium technologiesLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
Based on what we've seen OSAKA Titanium technologiesLtd is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about OSAKA Titanium technologiesLtd's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that OSAKA Titanium technologiesLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is significant...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:5726
Undervalued with reasonable growth potential.