Stock Analysis

Is Sumitomo Metal Mining (TSE:5713) Using Too Much Debt?

TSE:5713
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Sumitomo Metal Mining Co., Ltd. (TSE:5713) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Sumitomo Metal Mining

How Much Debt Does Sumitomo Metal Mining Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Sumitomo Metal Mining had JP¥583.3b of debt, an increase on JP¥556.7b, over one year. However, it also had JP¥170.0b in cash, and so its net debt is JP¥413.3b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:5713 Debt to Equity History December 13th 2024

How Healthy Is Sumitomo Metal Mining's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Sumitomo Metal Mining had liabilities of JP¥521.2b falling due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥570.0b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥170.0b and JP¥175.3b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by JP¥745.9b.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of JP¥1.01t. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Sumitomo Metal Mining's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.4 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 1k times, makes us even more comfortable. If Sumitomo Metal Mining can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 12% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Sumitomo Metal Mining can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Sumitomo Metal Mining recorded free cash flow of 40% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

On our analysis Sumitomo Metal Mining's interest cover should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to handle its total liabilities. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Sumitomo Metal Mining's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Sumitomo Metal Mining you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.