Stock Analysis

Slammed 28% Mitsubishi Materials Corporation (TSE:5711) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch

TSE:5711
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The Mitsubishi Materials Corporation (TSE:5711) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 28%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 12% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, given about half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 14x, you may still consider Mitsubishi Materials as an attractive investment with its 9.7x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Recent times have been advantageous for Mitsubishi Materials as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Mitsubishi Materials

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:5711 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 6th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Mitsubishi Materials' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Mitsubishi Materials' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 47%. The latest three year period has also seen a 22% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 16% each year as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 9.6% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we find it odd that Mitsubishi Materials is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

The softening of Mitsubishi Materials' shares means its P/E is now sitting at a pretty low level. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Mitsubishi Materials currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Mitsubishi Materials (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.