Mitsui Mining & Smelting Co., Ltd.

TSE:5706 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥269.6b

Mitsui Mining & Smelting Valuation

Is 5706 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5706 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5706 (¥4715) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥4777.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5706 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5706?

Key metric: As 5706 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 5706. This is calculated by dividing 5706's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 5706's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.9x
EarningsJP¥54.88b
Market CapJP¥269.62b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 5706's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 5706 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10x
5714 Dowa Holdings
7.6x-1.3%JP¥267.4b
5711 Mitsubishi Materials
7.3x5.6%JP¥315.7b
1515 Nittetsu Mining
9.2xn/aJP¥70.5b
5713 Sumitomo Metal Mining
15.8x13.3%JP¥1.1t
5706 Mitsui Mining & Smelting
4.9x-10.4%JP¥269.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 5706 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.9x) compared to the peer average (10x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 5706's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
5706 4.9xIndustry Avg. 8.9xNo. of Companies13PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 5706 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.9x) compared to the JP Metals and Mining industry average (8.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5706's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5706 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.9x
Fair PE Ratio9.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 5706 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 5706 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥4,715.00
JP¥5,827.78
+23.6%
9.7%JP¥6,700.00JP¥4,900.00n/a9
Nov ’25JP¥4,712.00
JP¥5,794.44
+23.0%
9.3%JP¥6,700.00JP¥4,900.00n/a9
Oct ’25JP¥4,932.00
JP¥5,805.56
+17.7%
8.4%JP¥6,500.00JP¥4,900.00n/a9
Sep ’25JP¥4,684.00
JP¥5,703.33
+21.8%
9.4%JP¥6,500.00JP¥4,900.00n/a9
Aug ’25JP¥4,798.00
JP¥5,703.33
+18.9%
9.4%JP¥6,500.00JP¥4,900.00n/a9
Jul ’25JP¥5,132.00
JP¥5,330.00
+3.9%
6.3%JP¥6,000.00JP¥4,900.00n/a9
Jun ’25JP¥5,076.00
JP¥4,946.67
-2.5%
15.6%JP¥6,000.00JP¥3,100.00n/a9
May ’25JP¥4,859.00
JP¥4,946.67
+1.8%
15.6%JP¥6,000.00JP¥3,100.00n/a9
Apr ’25JP¥4,514.00
JP¥4,843.33
+7.3%
15.7%JP¥6,000.00JP¥3,100.00n/a9
Mar ’25JP¥4,351.00
JP¥4,821.11
+10.8%
15.8%JP¥6,000.00JP¥3,100.00n/a9
Feb ’25JP¥4,578.00
JP¥4,676.67
+2.2%
17.4%JP¥6,000.00JP¥3,100.00n/a9
Jan ’25JP¥4,335.00
JP¥4,187.50
-3.4%
13.4%JP¥4,950.00JP¥3,100.00n/a8
Dec ’24JP¥4,553.00
JP¥3,862.50
-15.2%
10.3%JP¥4,650.00JP¥3,100.00n/a8
Nov ’24JP¥3,879.00
JP¥3,862.50
-0.4%
10.3%JP¥4,650.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥4,712.008
Oct ’24JP¥3,795.00
JP¥3,706.25
-2.3%
12.1%JP¥4,650.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥4,932.008
Sep ’24JP¥3,792.00
JP¥3,560.00
-6.1%
7.2%JP¥3,850.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥4,684.008
Aug ’24JP¥3,378.00
JP¥3,510.00
+3.9%
6.9%JP¥3,850.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥4,798.008
Jul ’24JP¥3,309.00
JP¥3,513.75
+6.2%
6.9%JP¥3,850.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥5,132.008
Jun ’24JP¥3,065.00
JP¥3,593.75
+17.3%
8.6%JP¥3,970.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥5,076.008
May ’24JP¥3,255.00
JP¥3,606.25
+10.8%
8.0%JP¥3,970.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥4,859.008
Apr ’24JP¥3,215.00
JP¥3,583.75
+11.5%
8.3%JP¥3,970.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥4,514.008
Mar ’24JP¥3,430.00
JP¥3,611.25
+5.3%
8.2%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥4,351.008
Feb ’24JP¥3,410.00
JP¥3,611.25
+5.9%
8.2%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥4,578.008
Jan ’24JP¥3,085.00
JP¥3,611.25
+17.1%
8.2%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥4,335.008
Dec ’23JP¥3,160.00
JP¥3,707.78
+17.3%
9.5%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥4,553.009
Nov ’23JP¥3,030.00
JP¥3,741.11
+23.5%
9.0%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,879.009

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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