Mitsui Kinzoku Company, Limited Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

Mitsui Kinzoku Company, Limited (TSE:5706) just released its interim report and things are looking bullish. The company beat forecasts, with revenue of JP¥364b, some 2.6% above estimates, and statutory earnings per share (EPS) coming in at JP¥438, 186% ahead of expectations. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

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Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus, from the eight analysts covering Mitsui Kinzoku Company, is for revenues of JP¥693.3b in 2026. This implies a small 4.8% reduction in Mitsui Kinzoku Company's revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are expected to tumble 58% to JP¥346 in the same period. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of JP¥668.8b and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥359 in 2026. Overall it looks as though the analysts were a bit mixed on the latest results. Although there was a to revenue, the consensus also made a minor downgrade to its earnings per share forecasts.

View our latest analysis for Mitsui Kinzoku Company

The analysts also upgraded Mitsui Kinzoku Company's price target 12% to JP¥14,075, implying that the higher revenue expected to generate enough value to offset the forecast decline in earnings. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Mitsui Kinzoku Company analyst has a price target of JP¥19,800 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at JP¥10,000. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that revenue is expected to reverse, with a forecast 9.4% annualised decline to the end of 2026. That is a notable change from historical growth of 6.3% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 2.9% per year. It's pretty clear that Mitsui Kinzoku Company's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Fortunately, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, although our data indicates it is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Mitsui Kinzoku Company. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Mitsui Kinzoku Company going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here..

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.