Stock Analysis

Daiki Aluminium Industry's (TSE:5702) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

TSE:5702
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Daiki Aluminium Industry Co., Ltd. (TSE:5702) has announced that it will be increasing its periodic dividend on the 24th of June to ¥30.00, which will be 50% higher than last year's comparable payment amount of ¥20.00. This takes the dividend yield to 4.3%, which shareholders will be pleased with.

See our latest analysis for Daiki Aluminium Industry

Daiki Aluminium Industry's Projections Indicate Future Payments May Be Unsustainable

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Prior to this announcement, Daiki Aluminium Industry's dividend was making up a very large proportion of earnings, and the company was also not generating any cash flow to offset this. Generally, we think that this would be a risky long term practice.

Looking forward, EPS could fall by 16.0% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could reach 139%, which could put the dividend under pressure if earnings don't start to improve.

historic-dividend
TSE:5702 Historic Dividend January 13th 2025

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was ¥6.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥45.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 22% per annum over that time. Daiki Aluminium Industry has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Earnings per share has been sinking by 16% over the last five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future.

Daiki Aluminium Industry's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. The track record isn't great, and the payments are a bit high to be considered sustainable. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Daiki Aluminium Industry (of which 2 can't be ignored!) you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.