Stock Analysis

There May Be Reason For Hope In Daishin ChemicalLtd's (TSE:4629) Disappointing Earnings

TSE:4629
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The market for Daishin Chemical Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:4629) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. We did some digging, and we believe the earnings are stronger than they seem.

View our latest analysis for Daishin ChemicalLtd

earnings-and-revenue-history
TSE:4629 Earnings and Revenue History November 20th 2024

Zooming In On Daishin ChemicalLtd's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to September 2024, Daishin ChemicalLtd had an accrual ratio of -0.17. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of JP¥2.2b during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of JP¥522.0m. Daishin ChemicalLtd's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Daishin ChemicalLtd.

Our Take On Daishin ChemicalLtd's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Daishin ChemicalLtd's accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Daishin ChemicalLtd's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! Unfortunately, though, its earnings per share actually fell back over the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Daishin ChemicalLtd at this point in time. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 3 warning signs with Daishin ChemicalLtd, and understanding these bad boys should be part of your investment process.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Daishin ChemicalLtd's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.