Kansai Paint Co., Ltd. (TSE:4613) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.3x Kansai Paint Co., Ltd. (TSE:4613) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios greater than 14x and even P/E's higher than 22x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Kansai Paint could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Kansai Paint
Keen to find out how analysts think Kansai Paint's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Any Growth For Kansai Paint?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Kansai Paint's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 22% decrease to the company's bottom line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 145% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 3.1% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 9.6% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Kansai Paint is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On Kansai Paint's P/E
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Kansai Paint's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Kansai Paint (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Kansai Paint might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:4613
Kansai Paint
Manufactures and sells paints and coatings in Japan, India, Asia, Africa, Europe, and internationally.
Undervalued with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.