Stock Analysis

Is Weakness In Nippon Paint Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:4612) Stock A Sign That The Market Could be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

With its stock down 14% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Nippon Paint Holdings (TSE:4612). But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Nippon Paint Holdings' ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

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How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Nippon Paint Holdings is:

9.8% = JP¥150b ÷ JP¥1.5t (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2025).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every ¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of ¥0.10.

See our latest analysis for Nippon Paint Holdings

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Nippon Paint Holdings' Earnings Growth And 9.8% ROE

To start with, Nippon Paint Holdings' ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 6.9% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. This probably laid the ground for Nippon Paint Holdings' significant 26% net income growth seen over the past five years. However, there could also be other causes behind this growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Nippon Paint Holdings' growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 7.2% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
TSE:4612 Past Earnings Growth November 12th 2025

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 4612? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Nippon Paint Holdings Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Nippon Paint Holdings has a three-year median payout ratio of 28% (where it is retaining 72% of its income) which is not too low or not too high. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the high growth we discussed above, it looks like Nippon Paint Holdings is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

Moreover, Nippon Paint Holdings is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years.

Conclusion

Overall, we are quite pleased with Nippon Paint Holdings' performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a sizeable growth in its earnings. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.