JSR Valuation

Is 4185 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4185 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4185 (¥4340) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥5214.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4185 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4185?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

4185 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA24.4x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 4185's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 4185 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.8x
4186 Tokyo Ohka Kogyo
3.1x8.5%JP¥504.0b
6988 Nitto Denko
2x4.4%JP¥1.8t
4203 Sumitomo Bakelite
1.5x5.2%JP¥416.1b
4613 Kansai Paint
0.8x3.6%JP¥435.9b
2.2x9.0%JP¥901.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 4185 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the peer average (1.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4185's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 4185 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the JP Chemicals industry average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4185's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4185 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.2x
Fair PS Ratio1.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 4185 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4185 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥4,340.00
JP¥4,050.00
-6.7%
8.6%JP¥4,350.00JP¥3,500.00n/a4
Apr ’25JP¥4,337.00
JP¥4,150.00
-4.3%
7.7%JP¥4,350.00JP¥3,500.00n/a6
Mar ’25JP¥4,051.00
JP¥4,150.00
+2.4%
7.7%JP¥4,350.00JP¥3,500.00n/a6
Feb ’25JP¥4,015.00
JP¥4,166.67
+3.8%
7.5%JP¥4,350.00JP¥3,500.00n/a6
Jan ’25JP¥4,020.00
JP¥4,100.00
+2.0%
8.1%JP¥4,350.00JP¥3,500.00n/a7
Dec ’24JP¥4,054.00
JP¥3,998.89
-1.4%
9.6%JP¥4,350.00JP¥3,300.00n/a9
Nov ’24JP¥4,035.00
JP¥3,998.89
-0.9%
9.6%JP¥4,350.00JP¥3,300.00n/a9
Oct ’24JP¥4,017.00
JP¥3,939.00
-1.9%
10.3%JP¥4,350.00JP¥3,300.00n/a10
Sep ’24JP¥4,074.00
JP¥3,854.00
-5.4%
10.4%JP¥4,350.00JP¥3,300.00n/a10
Aug ’24JP¥4,078.00
JP¥3,684.00
-9.7%
9.6%JP¥4,350.00JP¥3,200.00n/a10
Jul ’24JP¥4,110.00
JP¥3,604.00
-12.3%
9.5%JP¥4,350.00JP¥3,200.00n/a10
Jun ’24JP¥3,390.00
JP¥3,489.29
+2.9%
13.4%JP¥4,700.00JP¥2,800.00n/a14
May ’24JP¥3,200.00
JP¥3,505.71
+9.6%
13.7%JP¥4,700.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥4,335.0014
Apr ’24JP¥3,115.00
JP¥3,505.71
+12.5%
13.7%JP¥4,700.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥4,337.0014
Mar ’24JP¥3,120.00
JP¥3,532.00
+13.2%
12.8%JP¥4,700.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥4,051.0015
Feb ’24JP¥2,892.00
JP¥3,452.00
+19.4%
14.2%JP¥4,700.00JP¥2,730.00JP¥4,015.0015
Jan ’24JP¥2,588.00
JP¥3,464.00
+33.8%
13.7%JP¥4,700.00JP¥2,730.00JP¥4,020.0015
Dec ’23JP¥2,975.00
JP¥3,540.00
+19.0%
14.3%JP¥4,700.00JP¥2,730.00JP¥4,054.0016
Nov ’23JP¥2,727.00
JP¥3,688.24
+35.2%
15.8%JP¥4,800.00JP¥2,730.00JP¥4,035.0017
Oct ’23JP¥2,750.00
JP¥3,885.88
+41.3%
14.6%JP¥4,800.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥4,017.0017
Sep ’23JP¥3,100.00
JP¥4,085.00
+31.8%
11.8%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥4,074.0016
Aug ’23JP¥3,770.00
JP¥4,223.75
+12.0%
11.4%JP¥5,000.00JP¥3,260.00JP¥4,078.0016
Jul ’23JP¥3,460.00
JP¥4,263.53
+23.2%
11.9%JP¥5,000.00JP¥3,260.00JP¥4,110.0017
Jun ’23JP¥4,100.00
JP¥4,182.94
+2.0%
12.1%JP¥5,000.00JP¥3,260.00JP¥3,390.0017
May ’23JP¥3,555.00
JP¥4,185.63
+17.7%
11.4%JP¥4,900.00JP¥3,260.00JP¥3,200.0016

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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