Stock Analysis
Kaneka Corporation (TSE:4118) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks
Kaneka Corporation's (TSE:4118) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.8x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 15x and even P/E's above 23x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
With earnings growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Kaneka has been relatively sluggish. The P/E is probably low because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping earnings don't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
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The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Kaneka's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's bottom line as the year before. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 52% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its uninspiring short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 8.3% each year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 9.6% growth each year, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.
With this information, we find it odd that Kaneka is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Final Word
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Kaneka currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Kaneka that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Kaneka. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Kaneka might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:4118
Kaneka
Engages in the manufacture and sale of polyvinyl chloride (PVC), crosslinked PVC, PVC-PVAc polymers, paste PVC, acryl grafted-vinyl chloride copolymer, and chlorinated PVC in Japan and internationally.