Stella Chemifa Corporation

TSE:4109 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥49.1b

Stella Chemifa Valuation

Is 4109 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4109 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4109 (¥4250) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥8190.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4109 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4109?

Key metric: As 4109 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4109. This is calculated by dividing 4109's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4109's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21.2x
EarningsJP¥2.42b
Market CapJP¥49.13b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4109's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4109 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.3x
4187 Osaka Organic Chemical Industry
17.8x14.7%JP¥60.0b
4461 DKS
12.6x19.9%JP¥36.8b
4028 Ishihara Sangyo KaishaLtd
11.6x28.6%JP¥57.2b
4099 Shikoku Kasei Holdings
11.2x7.6%JP¥90.5b
4109 Stella Chemifa
21.2x19.5%JP¥49.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4109 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.2x) compared to the peer average (13.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4109's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Chemicals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4119 Nippon Pigment Holdings
0.6xn/aUS$30.07m
No more companies available in this PE range
4109 21.2xIndustry Avg. 12.1xNo. of Companies19PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4109 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.2x) compared to the JP Chemicals industry average (12.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4109's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4109 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.2x
Fair PE Ratio12.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4109 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4109 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥4,250.00
JP¥4,970.00
+16.9%
1.4%JP¥5,040.00JP¥4,900.00n/a2
Dec ’25JP¥3,950.00
JP¥4,970.00
+25.8%
1.4%JP¥5,040.00JP¥4,900.00n/a2
Nov ’25JP¥4,345.00
JP¥4,970.00
+14.4%
1.4%JP¥5,040.00JP¥4,900.00n/a2
Oct ’25JP¥4,110.00
JP¥4,970.00
+20.9%
1.4%JP¥5,040.00JP¥4,900.00n/a2
Sep ’25JP¥4,030.00
JP¥4,970.00
+23.3%
1.4%JP¥5,040.00JP¥4,900.00n/a2
Aug ’25JP¥4,010.00
JP¥4,770.00
+19.0%
5.7%JP¥5,040.00JP¥4,500.00n/a2
Jun ’25JP¥4,320.00
JP¥4,060.00
-6.0%
10.8%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,620.00n/a2
May ’25JP¥3,780.00
JP¥3,260.00
-13.8%
11.0%JP¥3,620.00JP¥2,900.00n/a2
Apr ’25JP¥3,600.00
JP¥3,260.00
-9.4%
11.0%JP¥3,620.00JP¥2,900.00n/a2
Mar ’25JP¥3,765.00
JP¥3,260.00
-13.4%
11.0%JP¥3,620.00JP¥2,900.00n/a2
Feb ’25JP¥3,240.00
JP¥3,260.00
+0.6%
11.0%JP¥3,620.00JP¥2,900.00n/a2
Jan ’25JP¥3,230.00
JP¥3,260.00
+0.9%
11.0%JP¥3,620.00JP¥2,900.00n/a2
Dec ’24JP¥3,225.00
JP¥3,260.00
+1.1%
11.0%JP¥3,620.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥3,950.002
Nov ’24JP¥3,205.00
JP¥3,310.00
+3.3%
9.4%JP¥3,620.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥4,345.002
Oct ’24JP¥3,105.00
JP¥3,310.00
+6.6%
9.4%JP¥3,620.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥4,110.002
Sep ’24JP¥3,120.00
JP¥3,020.00
-3.2%
0.7%JP¥3,040.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥4,030.002
Aug ’24JP¥3,105.00
JP¥3,020.00
-2.7%
0.7%JP¥3,040.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥4,010.002
Jul ’24JP¥3,125.00
JP¥3,020.00
-3.4%
0.7%JP¥3,040.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥4,310.002
Jun ’24JP¥2,973.00
JP¥3,020.00
+1.6%
0.7%JP¥3,040.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥4,320.002
May ’24JP¥2,752.00
JP¥3,270.00
+18.8%
7.0%JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,040.00JP¥3,780.002
Apr ’24JP¥2,641.00
JP¥3,270.00
+23.8%
7.0%JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,040.00JP¥3,600.002
Jan ’24JP¥2,474.00
JP¥4,685.00
+89.4%
18.9%JP¥5,570.00JP¥3,800.00JP¥3,230.002
Dec ’23JP¥2,606.00
JP¥4,685.00
+79.8%
18.9%JP¥5,570.00JP¥3,800.00JP¥3,225.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/26 10:52
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/26 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Stella Chemifa Corporation is covered by 7 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Hidemitsu UmebayashiDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.
Mitsuhiro OsawaIchiyoshi Research Institute Inc.
Atsushi KanekoMarusan Securities Co. Ltd.