Stella Chemifa Corporation

TSE:4109 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥46.4b

Stella Chemifa Valuation

Is 4109 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4109 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4109 (¥3855) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥8016.4)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4109 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4109?

Key metric: As 4109 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4109. This is calculated by dividing 4109's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4109's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.2x
EarningsJP¥2.42b
Market CapJP¥46.42b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4109's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4109 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.4x
4187 Osaka Organic Chemical Industry
17.3x14.7%JP¥58.8b
4461 DKS
13x19.9%JP¥37.7b
4028 Ishihara Sangyo KaishaLtd
11.3x28.0%JP¥56.1b
5013 Yushiro Chemical Industry
7.9xn/aJP¥29.2b
4109 Stella Chemifa
19.2x19.5%JP¥46.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4109 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x) compared to the peer average (12.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4109's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Chemicals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4119 Nippon Pigment Holdings
0.6xn/aUS$30.63m
No more companies available in this PE range
4109 19.2xIndustry Avg. 12.1xNo. of Companies19PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4109 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x) compared to the JP Chemicals industry average (12.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4109's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4109 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.2x
Fair PE Ratio12.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4109 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4109 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,855.00
JP¥4,970.00
+28.9%
1.4%JP¥5,040.00JP¥4,900.00n/a2
Nov ’25JP¥4,345.00
JP¥4,970.00
+14.4%
1.4%JP¥5,040.00JP¥4,900.00n/a2
Oct ’25JP¥4,110.00
JP¥4,970.00
+20.9%
1.4%JP¥5,040.00JP¥4,900.00n/a2
Sep ’25JP¥4,030.00
JP¥4,970.00
+23.3%
1.4%JP¥5,040.00JP¥4,900.00n/a2
Aug ’25JP¥4,010.00
JP¥4,770.00
+19.0%
5.7%JP¥5,040.00JP¥4,500.00n/a2
Jun ’25JP¥4,320.00
JP¥4,060.00
-6.0%
10.8%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,620.00n/a2
May ’25JP¥3,780.00
JP¥3,260.00
-13.8%
11.0%JP¥3,620.00JP¥2,900.00n/a2
Apr ’25JP¥3,600.00
JP¥3,260.00
-9.4%
11.0%JP¥3,620.00JP¥2,900.00n/a2
Mar ’25JP¥3,765.00
JP¥3,260.00
-13.4%
11.0%JP¥3,620.00JP¥2,900.00n/a2
Feb ’25JP¥3,240.00
JP¥3,260.00
+0.6%
11.0%JP¥3,620.00JP¥2,900.00n/a2
Jan ’25JP¥3,230.00
JP¥3,260.00
+0.9%
11.0%JP¥3,620.00JP¥2,900.00n/a2
Dec ’24JP¥3,225.00
JP¥3,260.00
+1.1%
11.0%JP¥3,620.00JP¥2,900.00n/a2
Nov ’24JP¥3,205.00
JP¥3,310.00
+3.3%
9.4%JP¥3,620.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥4,345.002
Oct ’24JP¥3,105.00
JP¥3,310.00
+6.6%
9.4%JP¥3,620.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥4,110.002
Sep ’24JP¥3,120.00
JP¥3,020.00
-3.2%
0.7%JP¥3,040.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥4,030.002
Aug ’24JP¥3,105.00
JP¥3,020.00
-2.7%
0.7%JP¥3,040.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥4,010.002
Jul ’24JP¥3,125.00
JP¥3,020.00
-3.4%
0.7%JP¥3,040.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥4,310.002
Jun ’24JP¥2,973.00
JP¥3,020.00
+1.6%
0.7%JP¥3,040.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥4,320.002
May ’24JP¥2,752.00
JP¥3,270.00
+18.8%
7.0%JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,040.00JP¥3,780.002
Apr ’24JP¥2,641.00
JP¥3,270.00
+23.8%
7.0%JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,040.00JP¥3,600.002
Jan ’24JP¥2,474.00
JP¥4,685.00
+89.4%
18.9%JP¥5,570.00JP¥3,800.00JP¥3,230.002
Dec ’23JP¥2,606.00
JP¥4,685.00
+79.8%
18.9%JP¥5,570.00JP¥3,800.00JP¥3,225.002
Nov ’23JP¥2,688.00
JP¥4,835.00
+79.9%
15.2%JP¥5,570.00JP¥4,100.00JP¥3,205.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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