DKS Valuation

Is 4461 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4461 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4461 (¥3675) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥8849.4)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4461 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4461?

Key metric: As 4461 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4461. This is calculated by dividing 4461's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4461's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.1x
EarningsJP¥2.91b
Market CapJP¥35.67b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4461's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4461 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.9x
4109 Stella Chemifa
19.3x19.5%JP¥46.5b
5013 Yushiro Chemical Industry
8xn/aJP¥29.0b
4028 Ishihara Sangyo KaishaLtd
11x28.0%JP¥54.7b
4187 Osaka Organic Chemical Industry
17.2x14.7%JP¥58.6b
12.1x19.9%JP¥35.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4461 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the peer average (13.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4461's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Chemicals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4119 Nippon Pigment Holdings
0.7xn/aUS$30.75m
No more companies available in this PE range
4461 12.1xIndustry Avg. 12.0xNo. of Companies22PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4461 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the JP Chemicals industry average (12x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4461's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4461 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.1x
Fair PE Ratio14.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4461 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


Discover undervalued companies