There Is A Reason cotta CO.,LTD's (TSE:3359) Price Is Undemanding
When close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 15x, you may consider cotta CO.,LTD (TSE:3359) as an attractive investment with its 7.9x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, cottaLTD has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like cottaLTD's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 23%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 64% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 3.0% per annum over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 9.2% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that cottaLTD's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that cottaLTD maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Having said that, be aware cottaLTD is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of cottaLTD's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:3359
cottaLTD
Engages in manufacture and sale of confectionary food materials and food packaging materials in Japan and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet established dividend payer.