Stock Analysis
AXXZIA Inc.'s (TSE:4936) dividend is being reduced from last year's payment covering the same period to ¥5.00 on the 9th of April. This means that the annual payment will be 2.2% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.
Check out our latest analysis for AXXZIA
AXXZIA's Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage
While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. Prior to this announcement, AXXZIA's dividend made up quite a large proportion of earnings but only 58% of free cash flows. In general, cash flows are more important than earnings, so we are comfortable that the dividend will be sustainable going forward, especially with so much cash left over for reinvestment.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 20.0%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 53%, which would make us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend, despite the levels currently being quite high.
AXXZIA's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency
The track record isn't the longest, but we are already seeing a bit of instability in the payments. Since 2023, the annual payment back then was ¥14.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥10.00. Dividend payments have fallen sharply, down 29% over that time. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.
Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Come By
Dividends have been going in the wrong direction, so we definitely want to see a different trend in the earnings per share. Over the past five years, it looks as though AXXZIA's EPS has declined at around 9.9% a year. A modest decline in earnings isn't great, and it makes it quite unlikely that the dividend will grow in the future unless that trend can be reversed. It's not all bad news though, as the earnings are predicted to rise over the next 12 months - we would just be a bit cautious until this can turn into a longer term trend.
In Summary
In summary, dividends being cut isn't ideal, however it can bring the payment into a more sustainable range. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We don't think AXXZIA is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For instance, we've picked out 3 warning signs for AXXZIA that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:4936
AXXZIA
Manufactures and sells cosmetics and supplements in Japan.