Lion Corporation

TSE:4912 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥487.5b

Lion Valuation

Is 4912 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4912 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4912 (¥1764) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥2067.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4912 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4912?

Key metric: As 4912 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4912. This is calculated by dividing 4912's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4912's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26.4x
EarningsJP¥18.44b
Market CapJP¥487.55b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4912's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4912 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25x
7956 Pigeon
31.4x13.1%JP¥175.1b
8113 Unicharm
27.5x10.4%JP¥2.3t
4985 Earth
24.8x10.3%JP¥121.3b
7818 TRANSACTIONLtd
16.2x9.6%JP¥61.0b
4912 Lion
26.4x6.6%JP¥487.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4912 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.4x) compared to the peer average (25x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4912's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Household Products Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4912 26.4xIndustry Avg. 18.6xNo. of Companies11PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4912 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.4x) compared to the Asian Household Products industry average (18.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4912's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4912 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.4x
Fair PE Ratio26.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4912 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4912 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,764.00
JP¥1,893.33
+7.3%
6.6%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,750.00n/a9
Dec ’25JP¥1,786.50
JP¥1,871.11
+4.7%
7.4%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,700.00n/a9
Nov ’25JP¥1,651.50
JP¥1,630.00
-1.3%
7.1%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,480.00n/a9
Oct ’25JP¥1,591.00
JP¥1,618.89
+1.8%
8.2%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,400.00n/a9
Sep ’25JP¥1,484.50
JP¥1,533.33
+3.3%
9.2%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,380.00n/a9
Aug ’25JP¥1,280.00
JP¥1,504.44
+17.5%
10.0%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,380.00n/a9
Jul ’25JP¥1,258.00
JP¥1,504.44
+19.6%
10.0%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,380.00n/a9
Jun ’25JP¥1,262.00
JP¥1,553.75
+23.1%
9.5%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,390.00n/a8
May ’25JP¥1,419.50
JP¥1,533.75
+8.0%
10.9%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,300.00n/a8
Apr ’25JP¥1,373.50
JP¥1,531.43
+11.5%
11.6%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,300.00n/a7
Mar ’25JP¥1,318.00
JP¥1,570.00
+19.1%
10.4%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,400.00n/a6
Feb ’25JP¥1,297.00
JP¥1,742.50
+34.3%
21.5%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,400.00n/a8
Jan ’25JP¥1,308.50
JP¥1,791.43
+36.9%
20.9%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,440.00n/a7
Dec ’24JP¥1,300.50
JP¥1,733.33
+33.3%
21.5%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,350.00JP¥1,786.509
Nov ’24JP¥1,455.00
JP¥1,844.44
+26.8%
19.4%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,651.509
Oct ’24JP¥1,476.00
JP¥1,844.44
+25.0%
19.4%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,591.009
Sep ’24JP¥1,591.50
JP¥1,833.33
+15.2%
19.5%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,484.509
Aug ’24JP¥1,363.50
JP¥1,782.22
+30.7%
19.8%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,280.009
Jul ’24JP¥1,342.50
JP¥1,815.56
+35.2%
18.1%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,450.00JP¥1,258.009
Jun ’24JP¥1,351.00
JP¥1,814.44
+34.3%
18.1%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,450.00JP¥1,262.009
May ’24JP¥1,504.00
JP¥1,814.44
+20.6%
18.1%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,450.00JP¥1,419.509
Apr ’24JP¥1,431.00
JP¥1,803.75
+26.0%
19.7%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,450.00JP¥1,373.508
Mar ’24JP¥1,461.00
JP¥1,796.25
+22.9%
19.9%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,410.00JP¥1,318.008
Feb ’24JP¥1,425.00
JP¥1,783.75
+25.2%
19.3%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,410.00JP¥1,297.008
Jan ’24JP¥1,514.00
JP¥1,707.78
+12.8%
22.8%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,100.00JP¥1,308.509
Dec ’23JP¥1,460.00
JP¥1,707.00
+16.9%
21.7%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,100.00JP¥1,300.5010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 21:50
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Lion Corporation is covered by 19 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mitsuko MiyasakoBarclays
Daisuke YamaguchiCitigroup Inc
null nullCLSA