TRANSACTIONLtd Valuation

Is 7818 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7818 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7818 (¥2222) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥1331.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7818 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7818?

Key metric: As 7818 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 7818. This is calculated by dividing 7818's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 7818's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17x
EarningsJP¥3.76b
Market CapJP¥64.08b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7818's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7818 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.2x
14.7xn/aJP¥30.9b
4985 Earth
24.4x12.4%JP¥119.3b
7956 Pigeon
31.3x13.2%JP¥174.4b
4465 Niitaka
14.2xn/aJP¥11.4b
7818 TRANSACTIONLtd
17x9.6%JP¥64.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7818 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the peer average (21.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7818's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Household Products Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7818 17.0xIndustry Avg. 19.0xNo. of Companies11PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7818 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the Asian Household Products industry average (19x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7818's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7818 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17x
Fair PE Ratio21.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7818 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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