Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Havix (TYO:3895) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

TSE:3895
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Havix Corporation (TYO:3895) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Havix

How Much Debt Does Havix Carry?

As you can see below, Havix had JP¥3.11b of debt at December 2020, down from JP¥3.74b a year prior. However, it does have JP¥2.97b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about JP¥146.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
JASDAQ:3895 Debt to Equity History March 28th 2021

A Look At Havix's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Havix had liabilities of JP¥3.30b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥2.80b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had JP¥2.97b in cash and JP¥4.12b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast JP¥985.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

It's good to see that Havix has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Havix's net debt is only 0.11 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 33.5 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. On the other hand, Havix saw its EBIT drop by 8.2% in the last twelve months. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Havix's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Havix recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Our View

Both Havix's ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT and its net debt to EBITDA gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. But truth be told its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow had us nibbling our nails. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Havix is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Havix has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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