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Why We're Not Concerned Yet About Amvis Holdings, Inc.'s (TSE:7071) 26% Share Price Plunge
Amvis Holdings, Inc. (TSE:7071) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 40% in that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, Amvis Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.2x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 13x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Amvis Holdings certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Amvis Holdings
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Amvis Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Amvis Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 31% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 293% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 20% per year as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 9.3% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Amvis Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Amvis Holdings' P/E?
Amvis Holdings' shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Amvis Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Amvis Holdings that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Amvis Holdings. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:7071
Amvis Holdings
Provides nursing home, home nursing care, home care, in-home care support, and disability welfare services in Japan.
Adequate balance sheet and fair value.