With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.1x Mizuho Medy Co.,Ltd. (TSE:4595) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios greater than 14x and even P/E's higher than 21x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Mizuho MedyLtd hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Mizuho MedyLtd
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Mizuho MedyLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 40%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 108% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 28% per annum during the coming three years according to the only analyst following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 9.6% growth per annum, that's a disappointing outcome.
In light of this, it's understandable that Mizuho MedyLtd's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Mizuho MedyLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Having said that, be aware Mizuho MedyLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Mizuho MedyLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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