Even though AOHATA Corporation's (TSE:2830) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't seem to notice. Our analysis suggests that investors might be missing some promising details.
See our latest analysis for AOHATA
A Closer Look At AOHATA's Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
For the year to May 2024, AOHATA had an accrual ratio of -0.15. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of JP¥2.3b during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of JP¥237.0m. AOHATA shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of AOHATA.
Our Take On AOHATA's Profit Performance
As we discussed above, AOHATA has perfectly satisfactory free cash flow relative to profit. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that AOHATA's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! Furthermore, it has done a great job growing EPS over the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example - AOHATA has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of AOHATA's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:2830
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.