Stock Analysis

Is Yamami (TSE:2820) A Risky Investment?

TSE:2820
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Yamami Company (TSE:2820) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Yamami

What Is Yamami's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Yamami had JP¥1.96b of debt in March 2024, down from JP¥2.57b, one year before. However, it does have JP¥565.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about JP¥1.40b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:2820 Debt to Equity History August 9th 2024

A Look At Yamami's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Yamami had liabilities of JP¥3.67b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥2.01b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥565.0m as well as receivables valued at JP¥2.63b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling JP¥2.49b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Yamami shares are worth a total of JP¥27.5b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Yamami's net debt is only 0.41 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 114 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Even more impressive was the fact that Yamami grew its EBIT by 131% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Yamami's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Yamami generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 97% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

The good news is that Yamami's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! It looks Yamami has no trouble standing on its own two feet, and it has no reason to fear its lenders. To our minds it has a healthy happy balance sheet. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Yamami, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.