Stock Analysis
We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Kagome's (TSE:2811) Earnings
Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Kagome Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:2811) stock hasn't moved much. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.
View our latest analysis for Kagome
In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. As it happens, Kagome issued 8.7% more new shares over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. You can see a chart of Kagome's EPS by clicking here.
A Look At The Impact Of Kagome's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)
As you can see above, Kagome has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 156% over three years. And the 140% profit boost in the last year certainly seems impressive at first glance. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 130% in that time. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.
In the long term, earnings per share growth should beget share price growth. So Kagome shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Kagome's Profit Performance
Each Kagome share now gets a meaningfully smaller slice of its overall profit, due to dilution of existing shareholders. Because of this, we think that it may be that Kagome's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. While it's really important to consider how well a company's statutory earnings represent its true earnings power, it's also worth taking a look at what analysts are forecasting for the future. Luckily, you can check out what analysts are forecasting by clicking here.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Kagome's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:2811
Kagome
Manufactures, purchases, and sells food products in Japan and internationally.