Stock Analysis

Kadoya Sesame Mills' (TSE:2612) Dividend Is Being Reduced To ¥85.00

TSE:2612
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Kadoya Sesame Mills Incorporated (TSE:2612) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to ¥85.00 on the 1st of July. The dividend yield of 2.2% is still a nice boost to shareholder returns, despite the cut.

See our latest analysis for Kadoya Sesame Mills

Kadoya Sesame Mills' Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Prior to this announcement, Kadoya Sesame Mills' dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This means that a large portion of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

Unless the company can turn things around, EPS could fall by 9.7% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 40%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.

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TSE:2612 Historic Dividend March 2nd 2024

Kadoya Sesame Mills' Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Looking back, Kadoya Sesame Mills' dividend hasn't been particularly consistent. This makes us cautious about the consistency of the dividend over a full economic cycle. Since 2018, the annual payment back then was ¥150.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥85.00. This works out to be a decline of approximately 9.0% per year over that time. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.

Dividend Growth Is Doubtful

With a relatively unstable dividend, and a poor history of shrinking dividends, it's even more important to see if EPS is growing. It's not great to see that Kadoya Sesame Mills' earnings per share has fallen at approximately 9.7% per year over the past five years. Declining earnings will inevitably lead to the company paying a lower dividend in line with lower profits.

Our Thoughts On Kadoya Sesame Mills' Dividend

In summary, dividends being cut isn't ideal, however it can bring the payment into a more sustainable range. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We don't think Kadoya Sesame Mills is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Kadoya Sesame Mills (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.