Fuji Oil Holdings Inc.

TSE:2607 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥303.5b

Fuji Oil Holdings Valuation

Is 2607 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2607 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2607 (¥3530) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥5113.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2607 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2607?

Key metric: As 2607 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 2607. This is calculated by dividing 2607's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 2607's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.5x
SalesJP¥609.01b
Market CapJP¥303.49b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 2607's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 2607 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
2811 Kagome
1x5.1%JP¥281.6b
1332 Nissui
0.3x2.3%JP¥291.7b
2810 House Foods Group
0.9x4.7%JP¥266.6b
2229 Calbee
1.3x3.3%JP¥396.4b
2607 Fuji Oil Holdings
0.5x3.5%JP¥303.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 2607 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 2607's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Food Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
2060 Feed OneLtd
0.1xn/aUS$200.20m
2286 Hayashikane SangyoLtd
0.08xn/aUS$25.75m
No more companies available in this PS range
2607 0.5xIndustry Avg. 0.6xNo. of Companies15PS00.40.81.21.62+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 2607 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the JP Food industry average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2607's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2607 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ratio0.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 2607 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2607 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,530.00
JP¥3,840.00
+8.8%
8.8%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,300.00n/a5
Nov ’25JP¥3,193.00
JP¥3,720.00
+16.5%
6.7%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,300.00n/a5
Oct ’25JP¥3,180.00
JP¥3,720.00
+17.0%
6.7%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,300.00n/a5
Sep ’25JP¥3,205.00
JP¥3,220.00
+0.5%
9.7%JP¥3,800.00JP¥2,900.00n/a5
Aug ’25JP¥3,013.00
JP¥3,060.00
+1.6%
3.9%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,900.00n/a5
Jul ’25JP¥2,771.50
JP¥2,960.00
+6.8%
9.9%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,400.00n/a5
Jun ’25JP¥2,471.50
JP¥2,720.00
+10.1%
9.4%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,400.00n/a5
May ’25JP¥2,356.50
JP¥2,720.00
+15.4%
9.4%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,400.00n/a5
Apr ’25JP¥2,400.00
JP¥2,625.00
+9.4%
12.0%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,150.00n/a6
Mar ’25JP¥2,485.50
JP¥2,590.00
+4.2%
12.0%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,150.00n/a5
Feb ’25JP¥2,408.50
JP¥2,590.00
+7.5%
12.0%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,150.00n/a5
Jan ’25JP¥2,427.50
JP¥2,530.00
+4.2%
12.3%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,150.00n/a5
Dec ’24JP¥2,355.00
JP¥2,325.00
-1.3%
6.8%JP¥2,500.00JP¥2,100.00n/a6
Nov ’24JP¥2,405.00
JP¥2,291.67
-4.7%
6.0%JP¥2,500.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥3,193.006
Oct ’24JP¥2,267.50
JP¥2,225.00
-1.9%
5.1%JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥3,180.006
Sep ’24JP¥2,356.00
JP¥2,191.67
-7.0%
5.3%JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥3,205.006
Aug ’24JP¥2,014.50
JP¥2,083.33
+3.4%
1.8%JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥3,013.006
Jul ’24JP¥1,989.50
JP¥2,083.33
+4.7%
1.8%JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,771.506
Jun ’24JP¥1,967.00
JP¥2,066.67
+5.1%
2.3%JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,471.506
May ’24JP¥2,128.00
JP¥2,066.67
-2.9%
2.3%JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,356.506
Apr ’24JP¥1,923.00
JP¥2,083.33
+8.3%
3.3%JP¥2,200.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,400.006
Mar ’24JP¥1,965.00
JP¥2,110.00
+7.4%
3.1%JP¥2,200.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,485.505
Feb ’24JP¥2,054.00
JP¥2,130.00
+3.7%
1.9%JP¥2,200.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,408.505
Jan ’24JP¥2,038.00
JP¥2,191.67
+7.5%
8.8%JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,427.506
Dec ’23JP¥2,120.00
JP¥2,191.67
+3.4%
8.8%JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,355.006
Nov ’23JP¥2,346.00
JP¥2,216.67
-5.5%
8.8%JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,405.006

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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