Calbee, Inc.

TSE:2229 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥390.2b

Calbee Valuation

Is 2229 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2229 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2229 (¥3150) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥4855.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2229 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2229?

Key metric: As 2229 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 2229. This is calculated by dividing 2229's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 2229's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20x
EarningsJP¥19.66b
Market CapJP¥390.18b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2229's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2229 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.5x
2809 Kewpie
21.6x7.1%JP¥464.0b
2282 NH Foods
19.4x12.8%JP¥502.3b
2002 Nisshin Seifun Group
16.3x4.4%JP¥544.1b
2871 Nichirei
20.5x7.3%JP¥522.8b
2229 Calbee
20x4.2%JP¥390.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2229 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x) compared to the peer average (19.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2229's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Food Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
2215 First Baking
1.8xn/aUS$24.20m
No more companies available in this PE range
2229 20.0xIndustry Avg. 15.3xNo. of Companies17PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2229 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x) compared to the JP Food industry average (15.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2229's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2229 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20x
Fair PE Ratio18.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 2229 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2229 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,150.00
JP¥3,512.50
+11.5%
11.1%JP¥4,100.00JP¥3,050.00n/a4
Dec ’25JP¥3,159.00
JP¥3,512.50
+11.2%
11.1%JP¥4,100.00JP¥3,050.00n/a4
Nov ’25JP¥3,237.00
JP¥3,562.50
+10.1%
11.5%JP¥4,100.00JP¥3,050.00n/a4
Oct ’25JP¥3,497.00
JP¥3,550.00
+1.5%
12.0%JP¥4,100.00JP¥3,000.00n/a4
Sep ’25JP¥3,236.00
JP¥3,475.00
+7.4%
11.6%JP¥4,100.00JP¥3,000.00n/a4
Aug ’25JP¥3,360.00
JP¥3,325.00
-1.0%
8.1%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,900.00n/a4
Jul ’25JP¥3,093.00
JP¥3,325.00
+7.5%
8.1%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,900.00n/a4
Jun ’25JP¥3,092.00
JP¥3,470.00
+12.2%
11.0%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,850.00n/a5
May ’25JP¥3,438.00
JP¥3,470.00
+0.9%
11.0%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,850.00n/a5
Apr ’25JP¥3,446.00
JP¥3,320.00
-3.7%
11.3%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,600.00n/a5
Mar ’25JP¥3,223.00
JP¥3,033.33
-5.9%
9.6%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,600.00n/a6
Feb ’25JP¥3,096.00
JP¥2,916.67
-5.8%
10.4%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,500.00n/a6
Jan ’25JP¥2,833.50
JP¥2,850.00
+0.6%
10.4%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,450.00n/a6
Dec ’24JP¥2,783.00
JP¥2,942.86
+5.7%
12.1%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,450.00JP¥3,159.007
Nov ’24JP¥2,673.50
JP¥2,957.14
+10.6%
9.1%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,650.00JP¥3,237.007
Oct ’24JP¥2,844.00
JP¥3,016.67
+6.1%
8.2%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,497.006
Sep ’24JP¥2,907.00
JP¥2,983.33
+2.6%
8.7%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,236.006
Aug ’24JP¥2,785.00
JP¥2,966.67
+6.5%
7.2%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,360.006
Jul ’24JP¥2,727.00
JP¥2,966.67
+8.8%
7.2%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,093.006
Jun ’24JP¥2,753.00
JP¥2,966.67
+7.8%
7.2%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,092.006
May ’24JP¥3,020.00
JP¥3,008.33
-0.4%
9.5%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥3,438.006
Apr ’24JP¥2,771.00
JP¥3,008.33
+8.6%
9.5%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥3,446.006
Mar ’24JP¥2,669.00
JP¥3,008.33
+12.7%
9.5%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥3,223.006
Feb ’24JP¥2,879.00
JP¥2,958.33
+2.8%
10.4%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥3,096.006
Jan ’24JP¥2,992.00
JP¥2,957.14
-1.2%
10.3%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,833.507
Dec ’23JP¥2,918.00
JP¥2,914.29
-0.1%
11.3%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,783.007

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/27 10:05
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Calbee, Inc. is covered by 18 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Takayuki HayanoBarclays
Mikihiko YamatoBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
null nullBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)