Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Nagaoka International Corporation (TSE:6239) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Nagaoka International
How Much Debt Does Nagaoka International Carry?
As you can see below, Nagaoka International had JP¥297.0m of debt at June 2024, down from JP¥1.18b a year prior. But it also has JP¥2.54b in cash to offset that, meaning it has JP¥2.24b net cash.
How Strong Is Nagaoka International's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Nagaoka International had liabilities of JP¥3.10b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥159.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had JP¥2.54b in cash and JP¥2.29b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast JP¥1.58b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus suggests that Nagaoka International is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Nagaoka International has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
Also positive, Nagaoka International grew its EBIT by 28% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Nagaoka International will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Nagaoka International may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Nagaoka International produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 70% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Summing Up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Nagaoka International has net cash of JP¥2.24b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 28% over the last year. So is Nagaoka International's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Nagaoka International you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About TSE:6239
Nagaoka International
Develops and sells water intake and treatment systems, and screen internals to oil refining and petrochemical industries in Japan and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and fair value.