Inpex Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 2/6
Inpex has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 18.1%, while the Oil and Gas industry saw earnings growing at 8.3% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 11.7% per year. Inpex's return on equity is 8.1%, and it has net margins of 19.1%.
Key information
18.08%
Earnings growth rate
21.71%
EPS growth rate
| Oil and Gas Industry Growth | 7.74% |
| Revenue growth rate | 11.70% |
| Return on equity | 8.08% |
| Net Margin | 19.07% |
| Next Earnings Update | 07 Aug 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 05
1605: LNG Project Expansions And Beetaloo Gas Venture Will Support Future Returns
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Inpex from ¥5,000 to ¥4,950, reflecting updated assumptions that combine a lower revenue growth outlook with slightly higher profit margins and a largely unchanged forward P/E multiple. What's in the News Union workers at the Inpex operated Ichthys LNG project in Australia have started limited industrial action over a wage dispute, causing a 24 hour delay to a Taiwan bound LNG tanker, with the Offshore Alliance flagging a broader strike between June 11 and June 23 if talks do not reach agreement.Narrative Update • May 22
1605: Beetaloo Gas Venture Will Support Future Cash Flows And Returns
Analysts have kept their ¥5,000 price target on Inpex steady, citing only minor updates to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions that do not materially change their overall view on the stock. What's in the News Inpex entered a joint venture with Formentera Partners to accelerate development of natural gas resources in Australia’s onshore Beetaloo Basin, combining Formentera’s shale expertise with Inpex’s LNG capabilities to supply domestic gas and future LNG exports to Asia and other regions (Key Developments).Analysis Article • May 16
Earnings Report: Inpex Corporation Missed Revenue Estimates By 17%
Investors in Inpex Corporation ( TSE:1605 ) had a good week, as its shares rose 3.5% to close at JP¥3,921 following the...Narrative Update • May 01
1605: Beetaloo Gas Development And Stable Cash Flows Will Support Future Returns
Analysts have maintained Inpex's fair value estimate at ¥5,000, making only very small adjustments to growth, margin and future P/E assumptions. As a result, the headline price target remains unchanged, although the underlying model inputs have been slightly refined.
Narrative Update • Apr 17
1605: Beetaloo Expansion And LNG Plans Will Likely Keep Shares Fairly Valued
The analyst price target for Inpex has been revised from approximately ¥3,192 to about ¥3,952. Analysts cited updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly adjusted discount rate and future P/E as key drivers of the change.Narrative Update • Apr 01
1605: Future Cash Flows And Beetaloo Development Will Support Shareholder Returns
Analysts have raised their price target on Inpex to ¥5,000 from ¥4,859, citing updated assumptions for future revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower forward P/E multiple, while also noting that some expect softer oil and gas prices ahead. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Inpex reflects a split view, with some analysts focusing on potential downside risks from softer oil and gas price assumptions and others pointing to valuation support and execution on current projects.
Narrative Update • Mar 18
1605: Softer 2026 Commodity Prices Will Likely Drive Further Share Downside
Analysts have slightly lifted their fair value estimate for Inpex to ¥2,780 from ¥2,750, reflecting updated assumptions on future P/E and margins, while incorporating recent Street research that factors in expectations for softer oil and gas prices in 2026. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts are taking a more cautious stance on Inpex, even as fair value estimates are being fine tuned.Narrative Update • Mar 04
1605: Higher 2026 Cash Flows And Buybacks Will Support Stronger Shareholder Returns
Narrative Update on Inpex Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Inpex from about ¥4,187 to roughly ¥4,859, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. This comes alongside a recent move by one firm to set a ¥2,820 price target based on expectations for softer oil and gas prices in 2026.Narrative Update • Feb 17
1605: Softer 2026 Commodity Pricing Will Likely Constrain Upside Potential
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Inpex to ¥2,750 from ¥1,940, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue trends and future P/E, even as some now expect softer oil and gas pricing ahead. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts recently shifted to a more cautious stance on Inpex, moving their rating to Underperform with a price target of ¥2,820.Analysis Article • Feb 14
Earnings Update: Inpex Corporation (TSE:1605) Just Reported Its Full-Year Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts
Shareholders might have noticed that Inpex Corporation ( TSE:1605 ) filed its full-year result this time last week. The...Narrative Update • Feb 03
1605: Buybacks And Softer 2026 Pricing Views Will Likely Keep Shares Fairly Valued
Analysts have updated their fair value estimate for Inpex from ¥3,146 to about ¥3,192, reflecting revised price target work that incorporates expectations for softer oil and gas prices in 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent research has led some bearish analysts to adopt a more cautious stance on Inpex, with a revised price target of ¥2,820 that sits below the updated fair value estimate of about ¥3,192.Narrative Update • Jan 19
1605: Buybacks And Cautious 2026 Pricing Views Will Likely Keep Shares Fairly Valued
Analysts now see Inpex's fair value at ¥3,146, down slightly from ¥3,150, reflecting updated views on revenue, margins and future P/E after some have turned more cautious on oil and gas pricing. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point out that the fair value cut to ¥3,146 is small relative to prior estimates, which they see as a sign that core assumptions on earnings power and P/E have not materially shifted.Narrative Update • Jan 05
1605: Expanded Buybacks And Firm Margins Will Support Stronger Shareholder Returns
Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Inpex broadly steady at ¥4,186.61 per share, reflecting updated assumptions for lower revenue growth expectations, a slightly higher profit margin and a modestly higher future P/E of 13.73, which together inform the latest price target view. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for November 13, 2025 to consider changes to Inpex's shareholder benefit system and other agenda items (company event filing).Narrative Update • Dec 20
1605: Shareholder Returns Will Likely Accelerate Under Expanded Buyback Program
Analysts have raised their price target on Inpex from ¥2,900 to approximately ¥4,187, citing expectations of faster revenue growth, stronger profit margins, and a higher justified future P/E multiple. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for November 13, 2025, to consider enhancing the shareholder benefit system and other matters (Company announcement).Analysis Article • Dec 12
Inpex (TSE:1605) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥50.00
Inpex Corporation ( TSE:1605 ) will pay a dividend of ¥50.00 on the 31st of March. Based on this payment, the dividend...Narrative Update • Dec 06
1605: Future Buybacks And Raised Guidance Will Likely Keep Shares Fairly Valued
Analysts have raised their price target on Inpex from ¥2,801 to ¥3,150, reflecting slightly improved long term revenue and margin expectations and a modestly higher assumed future price to earnings multiple. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for November 13, 2025, with an agenda that includes enhancing the shareholder benefit system and other matters (company disclosure) Equity buyback plan expanded on November 13, 2025, increasing authorization by ¥20,000 million to ¥100,000 million, with the maximum number of shares raised from 50,000,000 to 60,000,000 and the program extended to January 31, 2026 (company disclosure) Full year 2025 earnings guidance raised, with net sales now expected at JPY 2,000,000 million, operating profit at JPY 1,120,000 million, and profit attributable to owners of parent at JPY 390,000 million, reflecting strong project operations and updated oil price and FX assumptions (company guidance) Buyback tranche update for August 8, 2025 to September 30, 2025, confirming repurchase of 11,396,500 shares, or 0.95 percent of shares, for ¥28,321.54 million under the existing program (company disclosure) Valuation Changes Consensus Analyst Price Target increased moderately from ¥2,801 to ¥3,150, reflecting a somewhat more optimistic view of long term value Discount Rate unchanged at 4.8 percent, indicating no shift in the assumed risk profile or cost of capital Revenue Growth revised slightly higher from negative 2.47 percent to negative 2.39 percent, implying a marginally less pronounced decline in long term sales Net Profit Margin edged up from 17.10 percent to 17.17 percent, suggesting modestly stronger long term profitability expectations Future P/E risen from 11.47 times to 12.81 times, indicating a somewhat higher valuation multiple being applied to expected earningsAnalysis Article • Nov 28
Inpex's (TSE:1605) Dividend Will Be ¥50.00
Inpex Corporation ( TSE:1605 ) will pay a dividend of ¥50.00 on the 31st of March. This makes the dividend yield about...Narrative Update • Nov 22
1605: Future Buyback Expansion Is Expected To Limit Shareholder Returns
Analysts have raised their price target for Inpex from ¥2,548 to ¥2,801. They cited an improved outlook with better projected revenue growth and only minor changes to profit margins.Analysis Article • Nov 16
Earnings Miss: Inpex Corporation Missed EPS By 13% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
Investors in Inpex Corporation ( TSE:1605 ) had a good week, as its shares rose 9.7% to close at JP¥3,175 following the...Analysis Article • Nov 14
Inpex (TSE:1605) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥50.00
Inpex Corporation's ( TSE:1605 ) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥50.00 per share on 31st of March. The...Narrative Update • Nov 07
1605: Future Discount Rate Decline Signals Persistent Downside Risk
Analysts have maintained their price target for Inpex at ¥2,548. This steady outlook is supported by unchanged revenue and profit margin forecasts as well as expectations of a slightly reduced discount rate.Narrative Update • Oct 24
Share Buyback and Dividend Increase Will Influence Future LNG Valuations
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Inpex from ¥2,521 to ¥2,548. They cite an improved profit margin outlook and a slight reduction in the discount rate, which together support a modestly higher price target.Analysis Article • Sep 27
Calculating The Fair Value Of Inpex Corporation (TSE:1605)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Inpex is JP¥3,086 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Inpex's JP¥2,775...Narrative Update • Sep 14
Global Energy Shift Will Expose Overvaluation Risks In LNG
The consensus price target for Inpex has increased to ¥2521, reflecting improved sentiment driven by slightly better revenue growth forecasts and a modest uptick in net profit margin. What's in the News Board resolved to acquire treasury stock and authorized a share buyback plan.Analysis Article • Sep 02
Inpex (TSE:1605) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥50.00
Inpex Corporation ( TSE:1605 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥50.00 per share on the 31st of March...Narrative Update • Aug 31
Global Energy Shift Will Expose Overvaluation Risks In LNG
As Inpex’s future P/E and discount rate remained essentially unchanged, analysts have kept their outlook steady, reflected in only a slight increase in the fair value estimate to ¥2411. What's in the News Board approved acquisition of treasury stock and authorized a share buyback plan.Analysis Article • Jul 28
Is Inpex (TSE:1605) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Jul 10
Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At Inpex (TSE:1605)
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...New Narrative • Jun 22
Global Energy Shift Will Expose Overvaluation Risks In LNG
Market optimism about LNG and new energy ventures may be overextended, exposing the company to risks from faster renewable adoption and execution challenges in major projects.Analysis Article • Jun 16
Inpex (TSE:1605) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To ¥45.00
Inpex Corporation ( TSE:1605 ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 2nd of September...Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Inpex makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 1,976,255 | 376,957 | 134,568 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 2,011,351 | 393,836 | 100,193 | 13,146 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 2,038,927 | 431,332 | 130,680 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 2,123,843 | 438,285 | 86,348 | 35,663 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 2,205,936 | 431,808 | 185,417 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 2,265,837 | 427,344 | 131,818 | 35,663 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 2,311,035 | 394,741 | 218,946 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 2,276,588 | 280,039 | 138,557 | 3,559 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 2,182,840 | 292,062 | 98,934 | 3,559 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 2,164,516 | 321,708 | 98,446 | 3,559 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 2,227,752 | 451,239 | 102,359 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 2,304,973 | 508,069 | 98,629 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 2,417,745 | 495,664 | 100,971 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 2,324,660 | 438,276 | 95,915 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 2,093,898 | 352,755 | 98,375 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 1,844,448 | 355,528 | 83,682 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 1,486,063 | 278,952 | 68,383 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 1,244,369 | 223,048 | 58,185 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 1,027,462 | 151,450 | 56,241 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 877,760 | 61,082 | 56,099 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 765,074 | -107,088 | 58,855 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 771,046 | -111,699 | 57,028 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 1,270,849 | 157,056 | 48,517 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 1,108,452 | 131,559 | 62,901 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 1,056,438 | 108,990 | 48,630 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 971,388 | 96,106 | 49,792 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 930,578 | 49,553 | 44,158 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 923,984 | 44,244 | 44,242 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 918,178 | 37,149 | 49,685 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 933,701 | 40,362 | 48,426 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 954,601 | 51,648 | 60,894 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 932,688 | 60,593 | 60,930 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 894,161 | 58,329 | 61,287 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 874,423 | 46,168 | 62,469 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 823,962 | -2,747 | 50,898 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 832,208 | -12,981 | 51,465 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 963,408 | 675 | 55,004 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 1,009,564 | 16,777 | 56,684 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 1,053,721 | 43,490 | 70,575 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 1,075,100 | 34,558 | 75,306 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 1,074,348 | 49,339 | 103,073 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: 1605 has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: 1605's current net profit margins (19.1%) are lower than last year (19.6%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: 1605 has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 18.1% per year.
Accelerating Growth: 1605's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: 1605 had negative earnings growth (-12.7%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Oil and Gas industry average (1.3%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: 1605's Return on Equity (8.1%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/11 18:35 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/11 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Inpex Corporation is covered by 23 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Kazuhisa Mori | Barclays |
| NEIL BEVERIDGE | Bernstein |
| Kohei Suga | BofA Global Research |