The board of Aizawa Securities Group Co., Ltd. (TSE:8708) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥48.00 per share on the 2nd of December. This makes the dividend yield 6.8%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.
Aizawa Securities Group's Projections Indicate Future Payments May Be Unsustainable
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Prior to this announcement, Aizawa Securities Group's earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. With the company not bringing in any cash, paying out to shareholders is bound to become difficult at some point.
Over the next year, EPS could expand by 20.0% if the company continues along the path it has been on recently. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 101%, which probably can't continue without starting to put some pressure on the balance sheet.
View our latest analysis for Aizawa Securities Group
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥32.00 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥96.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 12% a year over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Aizawa Securities Group has impressed us by growing EPS at 20% per year over the past five years. A low payout ratio and decent growth suggests that the company is reinvesting well, and it also has plenty of room to increase the dividend over time.
Our Thoughts On Aizawa Securities Group's Dividend
Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. To that end, Aizawa Securities Group has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:8708
Aizawa Securities Group
Operates financial securities, investment, asset management, and financial instruments brokerage businesses in Japan.
Average dividend payer with mediocre balance sheet.
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