Stock Analysis

Did FTSE All-World Index Removal Just Shift Matsui Securities' (TSE:8628) Investment Narrative?

  • Matsui Securities Co., Ltd. (TSE:8628) was removed from the FTSE All-World Index (USD), following a recent index review announcement by FTSE Russell.
  • This removal holds significance because inclusion in major indices often underpins trading by passive funds and institutional investors.
  • Given the index removal's potential to prompt changes in ownership by index-tracking funds, we examine implications for Matsui Securities' investment narrative.

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What Is Matsui Securities' Investment Narrative?

To be a shareholder in Matsui Securities today, you have to believe in the ongoing demand for digital financial services in Japan and Matsui’s ability to remain competitive despite recent structural headwinds. The company has delivered steady growth in earnings and revenue, though at a pace behind the broader Japanese market and industry peers, while maintaining a relatively high dividend yield and an experienced board. The recent removal from the FTSE All-World Index, hot on the heels of last year’s Nikkei 225 exclusion, is likely to trigger some near-term flows out of the stock from passive tracker funds, but recent price moves suggest the news has not materially altered the market’s overall view of Matsui. This event could reinforce concerns about liquidity and perceived relevance among institutional investors, potentially amplifying scrutiny on two long-standing risks: muted profit growth relative to peers and modest return on equity. The most important short-term catalysts remain quarterly earnings and dividend announcements, but the risk of further shrinking institutional support should not be overlooked.
In contrast, potential changes in institutional ownership could have implications for longer-term stability.

Matsui Securities' shares are on the way up, but could they be overextended? Uncover how much higher they are than fair value.

Exploring Other Perspectives

TSE:8628 Earnings & Revenue Growth as at Sep 2025
TSE:8628 Earnings & Revenue Growth as at Sep 2025
The Simply Wall St Community offers two fair value estimates for Matsui Securities, ranging from ¥720 to a very large ¥612,108. With such a broad spread of opinions, it’s clear that market participants see the current valuation and future growth prospects very differently. Importantly, this underlines how events like index drops can shift investor sentiment in ways that aren’t always reflected in fundamental analysis.

Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Matsui Securities - why the stock might be worth 9% less than the current price!

Build Your Own Matsui Securities Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About TSE:8628

Matsui Securities

Provides online securities brokerage services to retail investors in Japan.

Mediocre balance sheet with questionable track record.

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