AEON Financial Service Co., Ltd. (TSE:8570) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥25.00 per share on the 14th of November. The dividend yield will be 4.0% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.
See our latest analysis for AEON Financial Service
AEON Financial Service's Dividend Forecasted To Be Well Covered By Earnings
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much.
Having distributed dividends for at least 10 years, AEON Financial Service has a long history of paying out a part of its earnings to shareholders. Taking data from its last earnings report, calculating for the company's payout ratio shows 73%, which means that AEON Financial Service would be able to pay its last dividend without pressure on the balance sheet.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 88.2%. If the dividend continues on this path, the future payout ratio could be 34% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was ¥70.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥53.00. Doing the maths, this is a decline of about 2.7% per year. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. AEON Financial Service's EPS has fallen by approximately 17% per year during the past five years. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future. Over the next year, however, earnings are actually predicted to rise, but we would still be cautious until a track record of earnings growth can be built.
Our Thoughts On AEON Financial Service's Dividend
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The company hasn't been paying a very consistent dividend over time, despite only paying out a small portion of earnings. We don't think AEON Financial Service is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. As an example, we've identified 2 warning signs for AEON Financial Service that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:8570
AEON Financial Service
Through its subsidiaries, provides various financial services in Japan.
Undervalued with adequate balance sheet.