Stock Analysis

Mercuria Holdings (TSE:7347) Is Increasing Its Dividend To ¥22.00

TSE:7347
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Mercuria Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:7347) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to ¥22.00 on 26th of March. Based on this payment, the dividend yield for the company will be 2.5%, which is fairly typical for the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Mercuria Holdings

Mercuria Holdings' Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage

We like to see a healthy dividend yield, but that is only helpful to us if the payment can continue. Prior to this announcement, Mercuria Holdings' earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. With the company not bringing in any cash, paying out to shareholders is bound to become difficult at some point.

Unless the company can turn things around, EPS could fall by 6.9% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could be 44%, which we consider to be quite comfortable, with most of the company's earnings left over to grow the business in the future.

historic-dividend
TSE:7347 Historic Dividend September 27th 2024

Mercuria Holdings Is Still Building Its Track Record

The dividend has been pretty stable looking back, but the company hasn't been paying one for very long. This makes it tough to judge how it would fare through a full economic cycle. The annual payment during the last 3 years was ¥20.00 in 2021, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥22.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 3.2% per annum over that time. Modest dividend growth is good to see, especially with the payments being relatively stable. However, the payment history is relatively short and we wouldn't want to rely on this dividend too much.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Come By

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. However, things aren't all that rosy. In the last five years, Mercuria Holdings' earnings per share has shrunk at approximately 6.9% per annum. If earnings continue declining, the company may have to make the difficult choice of reducing the dividend or even stopping it completely - the opposite of dividend growth.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Mercuria Holdings will make a great income stock. While Mercuria Holdings is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. To that end, Mercuria Holdings has 2 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.