Stock Analysis

GMO Financial Gate, Inc.'s (TSE:4051) 25% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors

TSE:4051
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GMO Financial Gate, Inc. (TSE:4051) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 34% over that time.

Following the firm bounce in price, GMO Financial Gate's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 70.5x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 13x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, GMO Financial Gate has been doing relatively well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for GMO Financial Gate

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:4051 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 3rd 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on GMO Financial Gate.

How Is GMO Financial Gate's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like GMO Financial Gate's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 42%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 174% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 35% per annum over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 9.3% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that GMO Financial Gate's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From GMO Financial Gate's P/E?

Shares in GMO Financial Gate have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that GMO Financial Gate maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for GMO Financial Gate that you need to be mindful of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on GMO Financial Gate, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.