Stock Analysis

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From KOZO Holdings Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:9973) Share Price

TSE:9973
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KOZO Holdings Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:9973) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x may look like a pretty appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Hospitality industry in Japan have P/S ratios greater than 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for KOZO HoldingsLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:9973 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 13th 2024

How KOZO HoldingsLtd Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, KOZO HoldingsLtd has been doing very well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dwindle, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for KOZO HoldingsLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as KOZO HoldingsLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 58% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 136% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 12% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it odd that KOZO HoldingsLtd is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Final Word

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of KOZO HoldingsLtd revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. Potential investors that are sceptical over continued revenue performance may be preventing the P/S ratio from matching previous strong performance. It appears many are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for KOZO HoldingsLtd that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of KOZO HoldingsLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if KOZO HoldingsLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.