GENDA Valuation

Is 9166 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9166 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9166 (¥2465) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥1429.91)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9166 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9166?

Key metric: As 9166 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9166. This is calculated by dividing 9166's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9166's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio52.4x
EarningsJP¥3.61b
Market CapJP¥194.65b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9166's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9166 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.5x
6412 Heiwa
10.5xn/aJP¥208.7b
4680 Round One
17.6x10.4%JP¥279.6b
9010 Fuji Kyuko
30x15.3%JP¥124.0b
9672 TokyotokeibaLtd
11.9x6.0%JP¥114.5b
9166 GENDA
52.4x20.9%JP¥194.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9166 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.4x) compared to the peer average (17.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9166's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7625 Global-Dining
3.9xn/aUS$25.33m
5534 Angel Group
2.9xn/aUS$22.19m
No more companies available in this PE range
9166 52.4xIndustry Avg. 21.7xNo. of Companies18PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9166 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.4x) compared to the JP Hospitality industry average (21.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9166's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9166 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio52.4x
Fair PE Ratio28x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9166 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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