Round One Corporation

TSE:4680 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥283.1b

Round One Valuation

Is 4680 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4680 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4680 (¥1034) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥2456.49)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4680 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4680?

Key metric: As 4680 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4680. This is calculated by dividing 4680's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4680's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.9x
EarningsJP¥16.56b
Market CapJP¥283.11b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4680's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4680 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28x
6412 Heiwa
10.7xn/aJP¥211.5b
9166 GENDA
58.2x20.9%JP¥211.6b
9010 Fuji Kyuko
31.3x18.0%JP¥129.3b
9672 TokyotokeibaLtd
11.8x6.0%JP¥113.6b
4680 Round One
16.9x10.4%JP¥283.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4680 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the peer average (28x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4680's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7625 Global-Dining
3.8xn/aUS$24.30m
5534 Angel Group
2.9xn/aUS$22.19m
No more companies available in this PE range
4680 16.9xIndustry Avg. 21.6xNo. of Companies19PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4680 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the JP Hospitality industry average (21.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4680's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4680 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.9x
Fair PE Ratio25.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4680 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4680 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,034.00
JP¥1,288.57
+24.6%
19.4%JP¥1,700.00JP¥870.00n/a7
Nov ’25JP¥943.00
JP¥1,274.29
+35.1%
19.3%JP¥1,700.00JP¥870.00n/a7
Oct ’25JP¥1,102.00
JP¥1,147.14
+4.1%
28.5%JP¥1,700.00JP¥700.00n/a7
Sep ’25JP¥885.00
JP¥1,125.71
+27.2%
29.7%JP¥1,700.00JP¥700.00n/a7
Aug ’25JP¥865.00
JP¥1,117.14
+29.1%
32.8%JP¥1,700.00JP¥700.00n/a7
Jul ’25JP¥858.00
JP¥1,117.14
+30.2%
32.8%JP¥1,700.00JP¥700.00n/a7
Jun ’25JP¥697.00
JP¥1,072.86
+53.9%
29.8%JP¥1,600.00JP¥700.00n/a7
May ’25JP¥691.00
JP¥1,035.71
+49.9%
30.5%JP¥1,500.00JP¥700.00n/a7
Apr ’25JP¥775.00
JP¥1,028.57
+32.7%
31.1%JP¥1,500.00JP¥700.00n/a7
Mar ’25JP¥689.00
JP¥935.00
+35.7%
29.2%JP¥1,500.00JP¥700.00n/a6
Feb ’25JP¥652.00
JP¥870.00
+33.4%
25.0%JP¥1,300.00JP¥700.00n/a6
Jan ’25JP¥558.00
JP¥840.00
+50.5%
28.4%JP¥1,300.00JP¥610.00n/a6
Dec ’24JP¥574.00
JP¥991.67
+72.8%
37.5%JP¥1,640.00JP¥610.00n/a6
Nov ’24JP¥543.00
JP¥977.50
+80.0%
36.6%JP¥1,640.00JP¥610.00JP¥943.006
Oct ’24JP¥560.00
JP¥977.50
+74.6%
36.6%JP¥1,640.00JP¥610.00JP¥1,102.006
Sep ’24JP¥608.00
JP¥977.50
+60.8%
36.6%JP¥1,640.00JP¥610.00JP¥885.006
Aug ’24JP¥572.00
JP¥935.83
+63.6%
31.0%JP¥1,400.00JP¥600.00JP¥865.006
Jul ’24JP¥569.00
JP¥923.57
+62.3%
29.3%JP¥1,400.00JP¥600.00JP¥858.007
Jun ’24JP¥645.00
JP¥921.43
+42.9%
29.6%JP¥1,400.00JP¥600.00JP¥697.007
May ’24JP¥587.00
JP¥827.14
+40.9%
21.7%JP¥1,100.00JP¥540.00JP¥691.007
Apr ’24JP¥511.00
JP¥841.43
+64.7%
22.4%JP¥1,100.00JP¥540.00JP¥775.007
Mar ’24JP¥516.00
JP¥841.43
+63.1%
22.4%JP¥1,100.00JP¥540.00JP¥689.007
Feb ’24JP¥477.00
JP¥824.29
+72.8%
20.4%JP¥1,000.00JP¥540.00JP¥652.007
Jan ’24JP¥480.00
JP¥834.29
+73.8%
18.3%JP¥1,000.00JP¥610.00JP¥558.007
Dec ’23JP¥596.00
JP¥874.33
+46.7%
10.9%JP¥1,000.00JP¥690.00JP¥574.007
Nov ’23JP¥632.00
JP¥857.19
+35.6%
10.3%JP¥980.00JP¥670.00JP¥543.007

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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