When you see that almost half of the companies in the Hospitality industry in Japan have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.9x, Tabikobo Co. Ltd. (TSE:6548) looks to be giving off some sell signals with its 1.5x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
View our latest analysis for Tabikobo
How Tabikobo Has Been Performing
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Tabikobo as its revenue has been rising very briskly. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to outperform the wider market, which has seemingly got people interested in the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Tabikobo, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Tabikobo?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Tabikobo's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 78% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 214% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 11% shows it's noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why Tabikobo is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Tabikobo maintains its high P/S on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider industry forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential continued revenue growth in the future is great enough to warrant an inflated P/S. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Having said that, be aware Tabikobo is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those can't be ignored.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Tabikobo, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6548
Excellent balance sheet low.