KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:3543) Just Released Its Yearly Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Shareholders might have noticed that KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:3543) filed its full-year result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 2.1% to JP¥2,636 in the past week. Results were roughly in line with estimates, with revenues of JP¥43b and statutory earnings per share of JP¥130. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

View our latest analysis for KOMEDA Holdings

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from KOMEDA Holdings' five analysts is for revenues of JP¥46.8b in 2025. This reflects a meaningful 8.2% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to rise 7.7% to JP¥140. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of JP¥46.2b and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥141 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of JP¥3,175, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic KOMEDA Holdings analyst has a price target of JP¥3,300 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at JP¥3,000. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of KOMEDA Holdings'historical trends, as the 8.2% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 7.6% annual growth over the past five years. Juxtapose this against our data, which suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 7.2% per year. So although KOMEDA Holdings is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's only growing at about the rate of the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for KOMEDA Holdings going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for KOMEDA Holdings that you need to be mindful of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.