Stock Analysis
- Japan
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- Hospitality
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- TSE:3010
Polaris Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:3010) latest 13% decline adds to one-year losses, institutional investors may consider drastic measures
Key Insights
- Given the large stake in the stock by institutions, Polaris Holdings' stock price might be vulnerable to their trading decisions
- 84% of the business is held by the top 2 shareholders
- Past performance of a company along with ownership data serve to give a strong idea about prospects for a business
Every investor in Polaris Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:3010) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. And the group that holds the biggest piece of the pie are institutions with 45% ownership. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).
And institutional investors saw their holdings value drop by 13% last week. Needless to say, the recent loss which further adds to the one-year loss to shareholders of 12% might not go down well especially with this category of shareholders. Often called “market movers", institutions wield significant power in influencing the price dynamics of any stock. As a result, if the decline continues, institutional investors may be pressured to sell Polaris Holdings which might hurt individual investors.
Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Polaris Holdings.
Check out our latest analysis for Polaris Holdings
What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Polaris Holdings?
Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.
Polaris Holdings already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Polaris Holdings' historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.
Polaris Holdings is not owned by hedge funds. Looking at our data, we can see that the largest shareholder is Star Asia Partners VI Ltd. with 45% of shares outstanding. In comparison, the second and third largest shareholders hold about 38% and 1.6% of the stock.
A more detailed study of the shareholder registry showed us that 2 of the top shareholders have a considerable amount of ownership in the company, via their 84% stake.
Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. There is some analyst coverage of the stock, but it could still become more well known, with time.
Insider Ownership Of Polaris Holdings
While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.
I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.
Shareholders would probably be interested to learn that insiders own shares in Polaris Holdings Co., Ltd.. As individuals, the insiders collectively own JP¥916m worth of the JP¥44b company. Some would say this shows alignment of interests between shareholders and the board. But it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling.
General Public Ownership
With a 13% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Polaris Holdings. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.
Private Company Ownership
It seems that Private Companies own 40%, of the Polaris Holdings stock. Private companies may be related parties. Sometimes insiders have an interest in a public company through a holding in a private company, rather than in their own capacity as an individual. While it's hard to draw any broad stroke conclusions, it is worth noting as an area for further research.
Next Steps:
I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Be aware that Polaris Holdings is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant...
If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.
NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:3010
Polaris Holdings
Operates a chain of hotels in Japan.