The board of MINISTOP Co., Ltd. (TSE:9946) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥10.00 per share on the 10th of November. The dividend yield is 1.1% based on this payment, which is a little bit low compared to the other companies in the industry.
MINISTOP's Future Dividend Projections Seem Positive
It would be nice for the yield to be higher, but we should also check if higher levels of dividend payment would be sustainable. Even in the absence of profits, MINISTOP is paying a dividend. Along with this, it is also not generating free cash flows, which raises concerns about the sustainability of the dividend.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 112.0% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 64% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
See our latest analysis for MINISTOP
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was ¥45.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥20.00. This works out to be a decline of approximately 7.8% per year over that time. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.
The Company Could Face Some Challenges Growing The Dividend
Given that the track record hasn't been stellar, we really want to see earnings per share growing over time. MINISTOP has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 18% per annum. Unprofitable companies aren't normally our pick for a dividend stock, but we like the growth that we have been seeing. All is not lost, but the future of the dividend definitely rests upon the company's ability to become profitable soon.
MINISTOP's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. Strong earnings growth means MINISTOP has the potential to be a good dividend stock in the future, despite the current payments being at elevated levels. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Now, if you want to look closer, it would be worth checking out our free research on MINISTOP management tenure, salary, and performance. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:9946
MINISTOP
Engages in the development and franchising of convenience store chains under the MINISTOP brand name in Japan and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with moderate growth potential.
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