Stock Analysis

Market Cool On Mammy Mart Corporation's (TSE:9823) Earnings Pushing Shares 33% Lower

TSE:9823
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Mammy Mart Corporation (TSE:9823) shares have had a horrible month, losing 33% after a relatively good period beforehand. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 60% in the last year.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Mammy Mart may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8x, since almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios greater than 13x and even P/E's higher than 20x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Mammy Mart has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Mammy Mart

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:9823 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 12th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Mammy Mart will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Growth For Mammy Mart?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Mammy Mart's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 98%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 56% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 9.8% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we find it odd that Mammy Mart is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Mammy Mart's P/E has taken a tumble along with its share price. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Mammy Mart revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Mammy Mart that you need to be mindful of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.