Stock Analysis

Mammy Mart Corporation's (TSE:9823) Shares Leap 27% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

TSE:9823
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Mammy Mart Corporation (TSE:9823) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 156% in the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, given about half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 15x, you may still consider Mammy Mart as an attractive investment with its 11.9x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Mammy Mart certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Mammy Mart

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:9823 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 28th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Mammy Mart's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Growth For Mammy Mart?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Mammy Mart's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 98% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 56% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 9.7% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Mammy Mart's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Mammy Mart's P/E

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Mammy Mart's P/E close to the market median. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Mammy Mart currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Mammy Mart with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Mammy Mart is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Mammy Mart is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com