Investors were underwhelmed by the solid earnings posted by MICREED Co.,Ltd. (TSE:7687) recently. Our analysis says that investors should be optimistic, as the strong profit is built on solid foundations.
Check out our latest analysis for MICREEDLtd
A Closer Look At MICREEDLtd's Earnings
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
MICREEDLtd has an accrual ratio of -0.24 for the year to March 2024. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of JP¥312m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of JP¥222.0m. MICREEDLtd shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On MICREEDLtd's Profit Performance
As we discussed above, MICREEDLtd's accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Because of this, we think MICREEDLtd's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And on top of that, its earnings per share increased by 65% in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example - MICREEDLtd has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of MICREEDLtd's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:7687
MICREEDLtd
Engages in the mail-order sale of commercial ingredients to small and medium restaurants in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet with high growth potential.