Stock Analysis

We Think Medical Ikkou GroupLtd (TSE:3353) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

TSE:3353
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Medical Ikkou Group Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3353) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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What Is Medical Ikkou GroupLtd's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at November 2023 Medical Ikkou GroupLtd had debt of JP¥10.7b, up from JP¥9.35b in one year. However, it also had JP¥7.81b in cash, and so its net debt is JP¥2.94b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:3353 Debt to Equity History April 5th 2024

How Strong Is Medical Ikkou GroupLtd's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Medical Ikkou GroupLtd had liabilities of JP¥12.2b due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥7.17b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥7.81b as well as receivables valued at JP¥7.39b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total JP¥4.16b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Medical Ikkou GroupLtd is worth JP¥9.94b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Medical Ikkou GroupLtd's net debt is only 1.4 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 262 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On top of that, Medical Ikkou GroupLtd grew its EBIT by 35% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Medical Ikkou GroupLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Medical Ikkou GroupLtd generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 96% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

Medical Ikkou GroupLtd's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. Zooming out, Medical Ikkou GroupLtd seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Medical Ikkou GroupLtd you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Medical Ikkou GroupLtd is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.