Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To COSMOS Pharmaceutical Corporation's (TSE:3349) Price

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TSE:3349

COSMOS Pharmaceutical Corporation's (TSE:3349) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.7x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 14x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

With earnings growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, COSMOS Pharmaceutical has been relatively sluggish. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance will improve markedly. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for COSMOS Pharmaceutical

TSE:3349 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 28th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on COSMOS Pharmaceutical.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as COSMOS Pharmaceutical's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 8.2%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 14% overall drop in EPS. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 6.6% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 9.5% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we find it concerning that COSMOS Pharmaceutical is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of COSMOS Pharmaceutical's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for COSMOS Pharmaceutical with six simple checks.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on COSMOS Pharmaceutical, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.