The board of FJ Next Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:8935) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 26th of June, with investors receiving ¥26.00 per share. This makes the dividend yield 4.1%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.
Check out our latest analysis for FJ Next Holdings
FJ Next Holdings' Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, FJ Next Holdings' earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. With the company not bringing in any cash, paying out to shareholders is bound to become difficult at some point.
Looking forward, EPS could fall by 2.7% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could be 32%, which we consider to be quite comfortable, with most of the company's earnings left over to grow the business in the future.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was ¥16.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥48.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 12% a year over that time. FJ Next Holdings has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.
FJ Next Holdings May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. It's not great to see that FJ Next Holdings' earnings per share has fallen at approximately 2.7% per year over the past five years. A modest decline in earnings isn't great, and it makes it quite unlikely that the dividend will grow in the future unless that trend can be reversed.
FJ Next Holdings' Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. To that end, FJ Next Holdings has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about. Is FJ Next Holdings not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:8935
FJ Next Holdings
FJ NEXT Holdings Co., Ltd. engages in the planning, development, sale, and brokerage of real estate properties in Japan.
Excellent balance sheet average dividend payer.