Stock Analysis

Mamiya-OP Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:7991) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 27%

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TSE:7991

Mamiya-OP Co., Ltd. (TSE:7991) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. Looking further back, the 13% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Even after such a large jump in price, given about half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 14x, you may still consider Mamiya-OP as a highly attractive investment with its 2.9x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Mamiya-OP certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Mamiya-OP

TSE:7991 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 23rd 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Mamiya-OP's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

Mamiya-OP's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 88% gain to the company's bottom line. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 12% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why Mamiya-OP is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Mamiya-OP's P/E?

Shares in Mamiya-OP are going to need a lot more upward momentum to get the company's P/E out of its slump. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Mamiya-OP maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Mamiya-OP that we have uncovered.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.