LEC, Inc.'s (TSE:7874) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥10.00 per share on 10th of December. This means that the annual payment will be 1.7% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.
LEC's Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage
We like to see a healthy dividend yield, but that is only helpful to us if the payment can continue. The last dividend was quite easily covered by LEC's earnings. This indicates that quite a large proportion of earnings is being invested back into the business.
Looking forward, EPS could fall by 5.7% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could be 44%, which we consider to be quite comfortable, with most of the company's earnings left over to grow the business in the future.
View our latest analysis for LEC
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥10.00 in 2015 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥20.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7.2% a year over that time. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. LEC might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.
Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Come By
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. In the last five years, LEC's earnings per share has shrunk at approximately 5.7% per annum. If earnings continue declining, the company may have to make the difficult choice of reducing the dividend or even stopping it completely - the opposite of dividend growth.
In Summary
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about LEC's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 3 warning signs for LEC you should be aware of, and 2 of them are significant. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.